Toronto Dominion Bank Stock Performance

TD Stock  USD 95.33  1.95  2.00%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Toronto Dominion holds a performance score of 21. The entity has a beta of 0.16, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Toronto Dominion's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Toronto Dominion is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Toronto Dominion's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Toronto Dominion's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Toronto Dominion Bank are ranked lower than 21 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain fundamental indicators, Toronto Dominion exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.70)
Five Day Return
0.14
Year To Date Return
1.15
Ten Year Return
160.93
All Time Return
1.9 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0332
Payout Ratio
0.3869
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
3.17
Dividend Date
2026-01-31
1
Investment Management Corp of Ontario Reduces Stock Holdings in Toronto Dominion Bank TD
12/09/2025
2
National Bank Turns More Positive on Toronto-Dominion Bank
12/29/2025
3
TD Bank Is Still A Strong Bank - Just Not A Cheap One - Seeking Alpha
01/14/2026
4
Analysts Have Conflicting Sentiments on These Financial Companies Toronto Dominion Bank and Prudential Financial - The Globe and Mail
01/21/2026
5
Toronto Dominion Bank TD is Nicola Wealth Management LTD.s 4th Largest Position
01/27/2026
6
TD vs. DBSDY Which Stock Is the Better Value Option
02/02/2026
7
National Bank Of Canada Explores New Growth Path With Defence Bank Role
02/06/2026
8
TD Launches New Brand Platform More Human, Reflecting A Digital-First, People-Centered Future
02/09/2026
9
Toronto Dominion Bank Hits Fresh High Is There Still Room to Run
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow6.4 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities86.2 B

Toronto Dominion Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,079  in Toronto Dominion Bank on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,453  from holding Toronto Dominion Bank or generate 17.98% return on investment over 90 days. Toronto Dominion Bank is generating 0.2768% of daily returns and assumes 1.0399% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 9% of stocks are less risky than Toronto on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 95% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Toronto Dominion is expected to generate 1.35 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.35 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.27 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Toronto Dominion Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Toronto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 95.33 90 days 95.33 
about 17.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Toronto Dominion to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.85 (This Toronto Dominion Bank probability density function shows the probability of Toronto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Toronto Dominion has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Toronto Dominion average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Toronto Dominion Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Toronto Dominion Bank has an alpha of 0.2844, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Toronto Dominion Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Toronto Dominion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toronto Dominion Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Toronto Dominion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.1695.1696.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.40100.60101.60
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
83.9592.25102.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.112.252.38
Details

Toronto Dominion Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Toronto Dominion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Toronto Dominion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Toronto Dominion Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Toronto Dominion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
5.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.23

Toronto Dominion Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Toronto Dominion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Toronto Dominion Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Toronto Dominion Bank reports about 517.19 B in cash with (69.65 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 285.25.
Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Toronto Dominion Bank Hits Fresh High Is There Still Room to Run

Toronto Dominion Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Toronto Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Toronto Dominion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toronto Dominion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments156.1 B

Toronto Dominion Fundamentals Growth

Toronto Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Toronto Dominion, and Toronto Dominion fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Toronto Stock performance.

About Toronto Dominion Performance

By analyzing Toronto Dominion's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Toronto Dominion's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Toronto Dominion has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Toronto Dominion has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.14 

Things to note about Toronto Dominion Bank performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Toronto Dominion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Toronto Dominion Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Toronto Dominion Bank reports about 517.19 B in cash with (69.65 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 285.25.
Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Toronto Dominion Bank Hits Fresh High Is There Still Room to Run
Evaluating Toronto Dominion's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Toronto Dominion's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Toronto Dominion's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Toronto Dominion's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Toronto Dominion's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Toronto Dominion's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Toronto Dominion's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Toronto Dominion's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Toronto Dominion's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Toronto Dominion's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Toronto Dominion's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Toronto Dominion's price analysis, check to measure Toronto Dominion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toronto Dominion is operating at the current time. Most of Toronto Dominion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toronto Dominion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toronto Dominion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toronto Dominion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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